A
texturizer reported that home furnishings and apparel markets are currently slow. Apparel
is especially bad and, for a change, the problem is not imports. He said, “Customers are just not
buying. Inventories for them are high. Sheeting is particularly bad. The bright side — automotive
and industrial markets are okay. Running conditions are fair to good, but overall we could ship
more. The drop in value of the dollar has temporarily slowed export sales quite a bit. Overall, I
don’t really expect much change in our markets until after the holidays.”
订单进出
旋转器继续报告
there is no continuity to any sales. One spinner commented, “We get nice orders, but they are in
然后 - 然后我正在寻找新业务。今天的所有业务本质上都是现货业务。这
客户希望快速交付，而不必保证未来的业务！”在我们现在的市场下
conditions, you can’t expect a customer to commit to extended business — tomorrow the yarn might be
cheaper.
这re is no export business for open-end (OE) yarn. (Of course, for obvious reasons, there
is no OE yarn being imported either.) Ring-spun (RS) yarns, however, are being exported by some
spinners.
纺纱报告销售放缓的影响markets across the board. A spinner
报道说，牛仔布市场特别缓慢。您会记得几个月前，牛仔纱
sales built up very quickly. Apparently, this was short-lived, and no one knows just what the
未来可能会举行。许多纺织人从过去的经验中知道，市场状况不在
their best at this time of year, but everything improves after Christmas. But, one disgruntled
spinner said, “Over the past few years, business after the holidays has deteriorated, and I don’t
expect it will change this year.”
OE Markets Still Crazy
One of the OE yarn respondents,
对持续的低价感到厌恶，说：“如果我们的客户无法在当今的情况下赚钱
prices of yarns, he won’t ever to able to. Here we are with new machinery, expensive cotton, making
a quality yarn. Then we turn around and give it away. Our customers are the only ones making money
today — the consumers aren’t and we sure aren’t!”
Pricing is still referred to in the OE markets as crazy. There was one report of an 18/1 OE
出售纱线为85至90美分。棉花以60美分的价格出售，您只有
a quarter left to buy insurance, pay your overhead costs, labor, waste and so on. You don’t even
有足够的剩余来支付律师破产。
Observations On Pricing Trends
纱线市场最受宠若惊
have its pricing data used to publish the research article on OE and RS pricing found in
ATI几个月前（请参阅开放式与环形定价，
ATI，2000年9月）。虽然信息是良好的，但它将有
little impact on predicting future pricing trends unless additional information is factored into
the equation. For instance, prices quoted in Yarn Market are asking prices. While the actual price
for RS yarns may be reasonably close to the asking price, due to market conditions today, the
actual price of OE yarns in today’s market will be considerably lower than the asking price. This
is due to the ongoing oversupply flooding the markets, as mentioned repeatedly over the past few
years. Also, spinners are naturally reluctant to publish information regarding actual pricing
因为在进行销售时可能会考虑许多因素。
Lately, spinners report that there have been significant reductions in the producing of
OE纱的主轴。旋转器现在预计价格稳定程度
increase in pricing for all yarn counts. They feel this will happen as early as the first quarter
of 2001.
在观察OE和RS纱线之间定价的趋势时，文章说：“
while the price difference in October 1984 was 13 cents, the difference in January 2000 was 51
cents.” It is interesting to note that during this same period of time, OE spindles were increasing
dramatically and RS spindles were decreasing.
Unfortunately, the article doesn’t show anything that spinners don’t already know from
experience and observation. Realizing that the article reported on trends, it would be interesting
for the researchers to extend the scope of the study to determine the cause of the major peaks and
valleys in 1987-88, 1993-94 and 1994-95.
